29th April 2007

Day One Prelim Grades

We will have our final grades after the draft is over, but a few teams really stood out after Day One:

Winners:

Carolina Panthers - The Panthers are easily the War Room Report winners after Day One - they nailed 4 of our top 36 players with Jon Beason, Ryan Kalil, Dwayne Jarrett, and Charles Johnson. All four players will see the field early in their career. The Panthers did a terrific job drafting for value instead of reaching for need.

Atlanta Falcons - Stealing Chris Houston and Justin Blalock in Round 2 really helped out the Atlanta draft. Houston, Blalock, and 1st round pick Jamaal Anderson could all start immediately. Houston will have to evolve his coverage but his athleticism will get him on the field quickly. Laurent Robinson was maybe a slight reach - there were a few WR we liked better still on the board, but Robinson is a solid player.

Cleveland Browns - The Browns grade is still undecided. While the players they selected were terrific values, the trade up to acquire Brady Quinn may look foolish next season if they are picking in the top 10. Eric Wright and Joe Thomas will start in year one, while Brady Quinn will get every chance to compete with Charlie Frye for the starting job. Hopefully the Browns did not give up a top 10 pick next year, and a shot at Brian Brohm or another top QB prospect to acquire Quinn.

Minnesota Vikings - As we debated prior to the draft, the Vikings were a hard team to project. However they selected the best player on the board with Adrian Peterson, selected a terrific receiver prospect in Sidney Rice, and one of the more intriguing CB prospects with Marcus McCauley. The Vikings were able to address needs while getting value.

posted in Brady Quinn, Dwayne Jarrett, Carolina Panthers, Cleveland Browns, Adrian Peterson, 2007 NFL Draft, Minnesota Vikings, Atlanta Falcons, NFL | 0 Comments

27th April 2007

Final 2007 NFL Mock Draft

Barring any major developments, our final mock draft is posted. There are not too many large scale changes - the biggest occurs at #7 with Minnesota. We still believe that Miami will trade up to acquire Quinn and that the Bucs will find a way to get Calvin Johnson at #2.

One of the toughest projections in this version was actually for the Colts - if Justin Harrell, Lawrence Timmons, and Jon Beason are gone, where do they go? The popular commentary is cornerback, but in a Tampa 2 system, losing Nick Harper and Jason David is not a huge deal. It is important to remember that the Colts have former first round pick Marlin Jackson and a pair of 2nd round picks - Tim Jennings and Kelvin Hayden at the position as well. We went with Ben Grubbs for the selection as they could upgrade the OG position, which struggled at times in 2006, allowing defensive tackles to get to Peyton Manning.

Grubbs is not the only player to move up to Round One - Michigan ILB David Harris makes the move, thanks to New England’s love affair with him. He is a very good player and fits the New England scheme very well.

We have six players with Round One grades falling out of the round:

Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC
Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn State
Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida
Justin Blalock, OG/OT, Texas
Sidney Rice, WR, South Carolina

Ryan Kalil, C, USC

posted in Tampa Bay Bucs, Dwayne Jarrett, Indianapolis Colts, Mock Draft, Calvin Johnson, 2007 NFL Draft, Minnesota Vikings, Detroit Lions, NFL | 0 Comments

26th April 2007

Final Rankings

The War Room Report posted our final big board today. There are not that many changes. If you are basing your rankings on what you think, instead of changing them with the wind, the rankings should not change drastically, especially at the top of the board.

There are going to be changes as small school players like Jacoby Jones work up the board. However we find it amusing that some well known sites are changing their rankings at the top of their board. There is not to say there are not differences of opinion among the War Room Report staff.

We featured many of the points of contention in our Buy or Sell section. The most contentious debates centered around:

Who should be the top CB? Leon Hall has always been rated #1 at CB, just ahead of Darrelle Revis, who is a favorite of War Room scout Matt Maccoy. I actually think both prospects are similar - low bust factors (for their position) but possibly limited upside. Hall’s success at one of the biggest programs in the country and fine technical skills seperate him from Revis slightly in my mind.

WR was another position with much debate. Dwayne Jarrett has always been the #2 prospect on our board, which may surprise some. We feel his lack of timed speed is not as big of a concern as it is being made out to be. Robert Meacham is our 3rd rated prospect, slightly over Ted Ginn, who some of our scouts like more than others. We also rate Sidney Rice over Dwanye Bowe and Anthony Gonzalez. His ball skills are impressive and if you analyze his collegiate production, it is superior to almost every WR in this draft when accounting for quality of competition and QB production.

posted in Dwayne Jarrett, Rankings, 2007 NFL Draft | 0 Comments

29th March 2007

Dwayne Jarrett Pro Day Results

The Dwayne Jarrett watch is over, as he worked out for scouts on March 28th. Jarrett ran two 40 yard dashes - in 4.67 and 4.62, reports Gil Brandt of NFL.com. Jarrett also ran a short shuttle in 4.20 and a three cone drill in 7.28. The short shuttle result is average - Steve Smith ran a 4.19, while the fastest among WRs was Anthony Gonzalez and Mike Mason, who both ran a 4.08. The three cone drill result seems inaccurate - that time would have been the slowest at the combine, regardless of position.

Jarrett had a 36.5 inch vertical jump and a 10 foot 1 inch broad jump. The vertical jump and broad jump results were in the average range for WRs.

The question remains - where does this leave Jarrett? His measurables do not seem to be that of a first round pick, but his production is hard to ignore. Jarrett is most likely going to be drafted fifth at WR now - after Calvin Johnson, Ted Ginn Jr., Robert Meacham, and Dwayne Bowe. He is still probably above teammate Steve Smith, sophomore Sidney Rice, and Anthony Gonzalez.

The USC connection could still land Jarrett in Tennessee at 19, but that may be a little high. Other landing spots for Jarrett include Kansas City (23) , Philadelphia (26), or New Orleans (27). Any of the three teams selecting at the end of Round One could consider Jarrett - San Diego, Chicago, and Indianapolis.

Jarrett’s most likely destination at this moment would seem to be the early part of Round 2 - The Chicago Bears would be my prediction at pick 37, unless another team trades up earlier in the round to take him.

posted in Dwayne Jarrett, Pro Day Results, Rankings, 2007 NFL Draft | 1 Comment